The plan is to do nothing, for thirty years.
Everything on this page exists for one reason: so that when you are frightened, or bored, or someone offers you something better, you can read what you decided while you were calm, and then do nothing.
Checked against iShares' own page on 30 Aug 2026: price $69.19, up 21.84% so far this year, 52-week range $52.78–$69.48, share class USD (Distributing). Prices move. If you are reading this much later, check the link before trusting any number on this page.
One supermarket, four inspectors
Imagine an enormous supermarket holding every company in the world.
You may only shop the halal aisle. But here is the part nobody tells beginners: there isn't one halal aisle. There are four different inspection companies, and each draws the line in a slightly different place. Same supermarket, four different sets of stickers.
So your job was never to pick a stock. Your job was to pick which inspector you trust, and then buy the one basket holding everything that inspector approved.
That basket is ISDW
390 companies, 23 developed countries, one purchase. You are not choosing winners. You own a small slice of all of them.
Why this fund, and not another
Three completely separate lines of reasoning all pointed at the same fund. That convergence is what makes it trustworthy, not any single argument.
1 · The screen
It checks a company's debt against what it actually owns, not against what the stock market guesses it is worth today. The two Shafi'i countries that wrote proper rulebooks, Malaysia and Indonesia, both picked that same test.
2 · Zakat
It pays cash twice a year. That cash helps pay your zakat without selling any units, in the fund you promised never to touch.
3 · Purification
Because the cash actually lands in your account, you can see it and count it. In the other kind of fund the money is reinvested inside and stays hidden, so you have to hunt down a number the company publishes once a year.
⛔ One gate before buying
Some funds lend out the shares they own and collect a fee for it, which works a lot like interest. BlackRock's own legal document says two different things about whether this fund does that: one page sets aside 0–1% of the fund for lending, another page says it is not allowed.
Email them and ask before you buy. If they say it does lend, buy IGDA instead, which bans it outright in writing.
Why the fundamentals hold up
When you buy this fund you are not buying a price on a screen. You are buying small pieces of 390 real companies. So the question is simple: are those companies in good financial shape?
There is an answer that does not depend on anyone's opinion, and it is the best thing on this page.
The halal rules are also a safety filter
Most index funds will hold anything in the index, however indebted. This one cannot. MSCI's published rulebook automatically excludes any company where:
- It has borrowed more than 33.33% of everything it owns (loans that charge interest)
- It is sitting on cash and interest-earning savings worth more than 33.33% of everything it owns
- More than 5% of its income comes from things that are not allowed
- It is a normal bank or insurance company
Now read that first rule again, but as a money rule instead of a religious one. It means not one company in this fund is drowning in debt. Not because someone decided they looked safe, but because any company that breaks the rule is thrown out the next time the list is updated, whether anyone likes it or not.
That is the difference between a promise and a rule. You can read the rule yourself in MSCI's rulebook.
What leaving out the banks does
A normal world fund is about 16% banks and insurers. Banks work by borrowing: for every $1 of their own money they often borrow $10 to $20 more. When things go wrong, that borrowed money is what turns a bad year into going bust. It is why 2008 was a banking crash before it was anything else.
This fund owns none of them. That means less variety, which is a real cost. It also means the most fragile part of the market is simply missing. Both are true at once.
The numbers, including the one that looks bad
| What it measures | ISDW | What that means |
|---|---|---|
| How much it swings compared to the world market | 0.90 | Below 1.00 means it moves less than the market, even with all that technology in it |
| Cash paid to you each year | 0.95% | Low, because these companies keep their profit and grow with it instead of handing it out |
| Share of profit handed out | 19.3% | They keep about four fifths of what they earn and put it back into the business |
| Price you pay per $1 of yearly profit | $27.54 | Expensive. Normally it is $16–17. You are paying about 60% more than usual |
The honest weakness
You are paying $27.54 for every $1 these companies earn in a year. The normal price is $16–17. So you are buying good businesses at a high price.
History says that when you start buying at high prices, the next ten years usually pay you less. That is the real risk here, and it means one thing only: expect 6–7% a year, not 8%.
It does not mean wait. Prices being high tells you something about the next ten years and almost nothing about the next twelve months, so there is nothing useful to wait for.
What eighteen years actually shows
First, the honest part. All those squiggly-line charts people study are about what happens over the next few weeks. You are holding for thirty years and buying on the same date every quarter no matter what. None of it can help you, and following it would wreck the plan.
But the price history proves something better: this fund has already lived through the worst, and we know exactly what that cost.
It has already been through the worst
ISDW launched on 7 December 2007. Not near a crisis. Weeks before the worst financial crisis since 1929.
So imagine the unluckiest person alive: they put their money in at the worst possible moment in modern history, then did nothing. They have still grown their money about 9.3% a year, every year, since.
That is not a guess or a computer simulation. That is what really happened to this exact fund, with the crash already inside the number.
| What it measures | Value | What that means |
|---|---|---|
| Growth per year since it started | ~9.3% | And that already includes buying right before the 2008 crash |
| Biggest fall it has ever had | −40.20% | In 2008–09. It came all the way back, then went higher than before |
| Biggest fall in the last 5 years | −21.85% | In 2022 |
| Biggest fall in the last 12 months | −7.94% | A normal, quiet year |
| How much the price bounces around in a year | 16.33% | So a year that ends 16% up or 16% down is normal, not a warning sign |
| Reward you got for putting up with the bouncing | 0.73 | Higher is better. This compares the gain you earned against how rough the ride was |
The last four years, including a bad one
| Year | Return | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | −6.32% | A losing year. Expect one about every four years |
| 2023 | +18.66% | |
| 2024 | +11.95% | |
| 2025 | +5.69% |
Calendar figures above are the EUR share-class basis quoted by justETF. The since-inception 9.3% is USD. Do not compare the two. ISDW returned +5.69% in EUR for 2025 and its index returned +20.20% in USD: a 14.5-point gap that is pure currency. Your currency is USD-pegged, so the USD figures are the ones that describe your experience.
Why falling hurts more than it looks
If your money drops by half, you do not need +50% to get back. You need +100%, because you are climbing back from a smaller pile.
- Fall of 21.85% → you need +28% to break even
- Fall of 40% → you need +66.7%
- Fall of 50% → you need +100%
This is exactly why the plan never sells when prices drop. If you hold, the fall is temporary. If you sell, you make it permanent, and then you have to climb all the way back from less.
What actually moves the outcome
Every decision available to you, ranked by what it is genuinely worth over thirty years. Fund selection, the thing you spent days researching, comes last.
| # | Decision | Worth over 30 years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Starting, and never stopping | $386,717 |
| 2 | $400/mo instead of $200/mo | $285,343 |
| 3 | The $200/mo mystery product, if it's a ULIP | $50k–100k+ |
| 4 | Selling HLAL: US estate tax | $124,141 |
| 5 | Having an emergency fund | the #1 plan-killer |
| 6 | Zakat method: 0.6% vs 2.5% | ~$8,000/yr |
| 7 | ISDW vs IGDA | $7,969 |
Raising your monthly contribution by $200 is worth 33× the entire fund-selection decision. Rows 1–5 are behaviour and admin. Row 7 is research, and research is the most comfortable form of avoidance available to you. It feels like progress while nothing gets invested.
Nothing happens for fifteen years
This is the most important table here, and the least exciting. At year 10, 65% of your balance is still just your own deposits. The entire payoff lives in years 20–30. That is precisely why "pick one and never touch it" is the highest-value rule you have.
| Year | Paid in | Worth | × | Growth's share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | $19,700 | $24,663 | 1.25 | 20% |
| 10 | $37,700 | $58,404 | 1.55 | 35% |
| 20 | $73,700 | $180,825 | 2.45 | 59% |
| 25 | $91,700 | $287,856 | 3.14 | 68% |
| 30 | $109,700 | $445,121 | 4.06 | 75% |
$1,700 to start · $300/month · buying every 3 months · 8% a year · before inflation and before fees
Open the calculator →Zakat is larger than every fee combined
Your files argued at length about a 0.10% fee gap worth about $8,500 over thirty years. Zakat will cost between 0.6% and 2.5% of your portfolio, every single year, six to twenty-five times everything else combined.
Which rate applies depends on your intention when you bought, not on what you decide later.
| Intention at purchase | Zakat base | Cost per year |
|---|---|---|
| To resell for profit, عروض التجارة | Full market value | 2.5% |
| To hold long-term for retirement | Zakatable assets (~25–30%) | 0.6–0.75% |
Do this before you buy
Sign and date the declaration of intention in records/trade-log.md. It records that you are buying for long-term retirement ownership, not for resale. It takes thirty seconds and it cannot be backdated.
This fund can fall by half
An earlier version of these notes said −22%. That was wrong: it came from a time period that quietly left out 2008. Getting back from a 40% fall takes a 66.7% rise.
Prices rise over time, so future money buys less. If prices rise 3% a year for thirty years, that $445,121 will buy about what $183,000 buys today. Still a great result from $109,700 of savings. Just keep the right picture in your head.
Concentration
Technology is 41.9% of the fund, and Microsoft on its own is 13.16% of your money. There are no banks at all, which is unavoidable once you screen them out. And Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and NVIDIA are not in here: they sit on too much interest-earning cash to pass the rules.
Expect less than 8%
Shares around the world are expensive right now: about $21.50 paid for every $1 of yearly profit, when $16–17 is normal. History shows that buying when things are pricey usually means smaller gains afterwards. So expect 6–7% a year, not 8%. Change what you expect, not when you start.
The real risk is not any of the above. It is that you stop. Not fund choice, not timing, not valuations.
A crash right now is good news
This is not comfort. It is arithmetic. Same thirty years, same 8%, one year of −40%, only the timing of that crash changes:
| Crash lands in | Final balance | Cost |
|---|---|---|
| No crash | $445,121 | , |
| Year 1: now | $426,939 | 4.1% |
| Midway | $289,549 | 34.9% |
| Year 30: the end | $247,833 | 44.3% |
A late crash is 10.85× worse than an early one. Why: a crash now hits a small balance and then you make 119 more purchases at cheap prices. A crash at the end hits everything and there are zero purchases left. $900 buys 9.00 units at $100, 11.25 at $80, 15.00 at $60. A 40% crash raises your buying power by 67% for as long as it lasts.
Market falls 10% · 20% · 30% · 50% → do nothing. Buy on schedule.
Never pause contributions "until things settle." That is selling in disguise, and worse still: it removes purchases at exactly the cheapest prices you will ever see. Clarity arrives only after the recovery, which is too late.
Every quarter, in twenty minutes
- Send about $900 to IBKR. Compare ways of sending it first. A $20 bank fee on $900 eats 2.2% before you have bought anything.
- Search using the fund's ID number, not its short name. It is IE00B27YCN58. Short names get reused; the ID number never does.
- Pick the dollar version (ISDW), not the pound version (ISWD). Same fund, but the pound one makes you swap currency on every purchase, and you pay for that each time.
- Set a maximum price you will pay, good for that day only. Never say "buy at any price". Never edit the order once placed, and never let it roll into tomorrow, because IBKR charges its minimum fee all over again. At $900 that minimum is the whole fee, so fiddling can double or triple what you pay.
- Buy after 14:30 London, when US markets are open and spreads are tightest.
- Add any dividend cash sitting in the account. It goes in with the same purchase, so it costs you nothing extra.
- Log it the same day. Close the laptop. Do not look again.
Never
Individual stocks · options, futures, leverage, margin · crypto · unit-linked insurance plans · anything a friend, colleague or YouTuber recommends · timing the market · waiting for a dip · checking daily.
How to check every number here
This page throws a lot of numbers at you. You should be able to check every one of them without trusting whoever wrote this, including in five years when you have forgotten why any of it made sense.
The projections check themselves
Every number on this site that was calculated comes from one file, web/js/projection.js, which both this page and the calculator use. There is a script that redoes every calculation and shouts if the words on the page no longer match:
python3 tools/verify.py
30 of 30 figures currently reproduce. When it was first written it caught four numbers that had drifted, including a milestone table that assumed monthly compounding when this plan buys quarterly. That one was wrong by $25,000.
The fund facts have sources
Every fact about this fund is listed in docs/evidence.md with a letter grade, so you know how much to trust it:
- A — straight from the company that runs the fund
- B — from a data website, checked against a second one
- C — worked out here, and you can re-run the maths
- D — not proven yet. Do not act on it.
Primary sources for the load-bearing ones:
- iShares ISDW product page — ISIN, TER, domicile, distribution
- justETF ISDW — how big it is, what it holds, its biggest falls, its returns
- Securities Commission Malaysia — measures debt against what a company owns
- S&P Dow Jones Islamic rulebook — the version that measures debt against share price instead
- FTSE Yasaar fatwa — the screen behind HLAL
What is still unproven
Eight items are graded D, meaning do not act on them until settled. The ones that matter most:
- Does this fund lend out its shares? BlackRock's own legal document says both yes and no in different places. Nobody has settled it. Email them before you buy.
- Your zakat base. A ~4× annual difference, and only your scholar can settle it.
- The bid-ask spread on your line. Nobody has measured one. It is plausibly your largest per-trade cost.
- What the $200/month product is. Still unidentified, and possibly worth more than every fund decision on this page.
And three things on purpose have no proof behind them, because none exists: 8% a year is a guess, not a fact. The religious conclusions here are not a fatwa. And nobody, anywhere, knows what markets will do over the next three years.
If the answer to "will it go up soon?" would change what you do, the plan is not really in place.
If it would not change anything. You already have your answer, and you do not need anyone else's.
The plan does not need more improvement. It needs a first purchase.
Run the numbers yourself →